|
This
is a well-to-do oil-based economy with strong
government controls over major economic activities.
Saudi Arabia has the largest reserves of petroleum in
the world (26% of the proved total), ranks as the
largest exporter of petroleum, and plays a leading
role in OPEC. The petroleum sector accounts for
roughly 75% of budget revenues, 40% of GDP, and 90% of
export earnings. About 35% of GDP comes from the
private sector. Roughly 4 million foreign workers play
an important role in the Saudi economy, for example,
in the oil and service sectors. The Saudi economy was
severely hit by the large decline in world oil prices
in 1998. GDP fell by nearly 11%; the budget deficit
rose to $12.3 billion; and the current account
recorded a $13 billion deficit-the first in three
years. The government announced plans to implement
large spending cuts in 1999 because of weak oil prices
and will continue to call on greater private sector
involvement in the economy. Shortages of water and
rapid populationgrowth will constrain government
efforts to increase self-sufficiency in agricultural
products. GDP: purchasing power parity-$186 billion
(approx.)
Capital
Account
During
the early 1980s, current account surpluses led to a
sharp increase in foreign asset holdings. As a result,
the capital account was dominated by outflows from
both official institutions and the private sector.
With the current account registering sizable deficits
after 1983, the capital account has seen a reversal of
these trends. A reduction of foreign assets was
followed by a significant inflow of banking sector
capital for the purchase of Saudi development bonds.
The private sector only began repatriating capital
after the Persian Gulf War ended. For much of the
1980s, private individuals and companies placed a
substantial amount of funds overseas, a process that
accelerated following the fall in oil prices in 1986
and as a result of the Iran-Iraq War. Increased
confidence in the Saudi economy after the Persian Gulf
War caused the return of these funds. The inflow of
private capital in 1991 allowed SAMA to stabilize
official foreign exchange holdings and spurred
economic activity in the nonoil sector. Official asset
flows constituted the bulk of current account
financing, a process that became unsustainable
following the massive depletions to pay for the
Persian Gulf War costs. As a result, the government
has engaged in significant commercial borrowing on the
international markets and instructed some of its
public enterprises (notably Saudi Aramco and Sabic) to
do the same. With the expectation that Saudi Arabia
will continue to run current account deficits during
the foreseeable future, it is likely that the capital
account will be dominated by debt flows and a good
measure of private sector asset repatriation.
|